# Forecast Stage — Elaboration

## Criteria Guidance

### Good criteria — concrete and verifiable

- "Forecast model documents all assumptions with supporting data sources and confidence levels"
- "Revenue projections cover at least 3 scenarios (base, optimistic, pessimistic) with distinct assumption sets"
- "Market condition analysis references at least 5 data points from the last 90 days"

### Bad criteria — vague (no clear check)

- "Forecast is done"
- "Revenue looks reasonable"
- "Market conditions are understood"

