---
name: forecast-model
location: .haiku/intents/{intent-slug}/stages/forecast/artifacts/
scope: intent
format: text
required: true
---

# Forecast Model

Revenue projections with documented assumptions, multiple scenarios, and market condition analysis.

## Expected Artifacts

- **Forecast model** -- documented assumptions with supporting data sources and confidence levels
- **Revenue scenarios** -- at least 3 scenarios (base, optimistic, pessimistic) with distinct assumption sets
- **Market analysis** -- current market conditions with recent data points
- **Methodology documentation** -- how projections trace to underlying data

## Quality Signals

- All assumptions are documented with supporting data sources
- Multiple scenarios have distinct assumption sets, not just percentage variations
- Market condition analysis references recent data points
- Methodology is validated and data sources are current and reliable
